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Part of the risk. The entertaining aspect is "sign on the dotted line for 2-1 right now OR whatever happens, happens."

Nah, I just think it just makes for an entertaining discussion (one I had with some friends offline) because people give different reasons for their picks. You see the rationales or perspectives posters like EthnicSands and Scranton gave. They looked at it from a more straight statistical...

Not sure where you pulled that from? Seems you've not read any of my posts in the thread or misunderstood the hypo.

Option 2 means you pass up option 1 and then have a chance to go 0-3 (i find this very low probability, statistically and otherwise), 1-2, etc. I think I should have worded the OP differently as it's caused some confusion for some. Ya'll don't do "what ifs" with your friends?

Statistically, that about matches the expected probabilities discussed. Ethnic has mentioned it. I had mentioned them a few times because it was part of the discussion off the board. It's entertaining to see the reactions, though. Especially all the negative ones. Ha. For me, the point was the...

It's a good question. I don't know the answer. I posed it above to @Ethnicsands. Maybe stupidly, but for the purposes of the discussion I take the 0-3 option off the table. So the question becomes "what are the differences between 1-2, 2-1, 3-0?" The bowl implication you and Ethnic have...

However unlikely that outcome may be (or even just the chance it's an opportunity), it'd make a difference in program perception. ****, perhaps actual internal program confidence. An 11-1 season with a major bowl game win against ND? That sells. I think we're still a program trying to figure...

That's part of the discussion I'm not sure I've had anywhere. Is 1-2 that different than 2-1? Would we lose Williams or Taylor or a portion of our recruiting class (which is absolutely necessary to where we all wanna go, btw)? Would 3-0 potentially land us a hyped up kid we wouldn't otherwise land?

Right. I’m aware of the Math as I’ve noted a few times throughout the thread. The part we possibly diverge on is how I define ‘soul.’ It’s not a magic thing. It’s something I’d consider embedded in your comment of needing better players, coaches, and culture. In the spirit of the hypo, that...

For the record, I go against the probabilities and pick a chance at 3-0 (and whatever that risk entails). My reasoning off the board was that the program NEEDS to find its ******* soul. You find that by playing GT first and redeeming last year. Then playing up at WF where refs will likely try to...

I'm good with reading the responses and checking back on this later. I don't cook steaks. Once I kill the animal, I eat its liver raw. Maximum nutrients.

I think it's implied by "a chance at 3-0" (but really could be anything). The 3-0 wording (on a fan board, i realize) seems to rile up more emotions, which is also interesting.

I haven't given my answer or preference. I'm posing the question because I expected one answer and was surprised by the back and forth. Read through the responses and you'll see some of the rationales for those "taking" the 9-2 option. Personally, I'd like to know Manny Diaz's answer to the...

Ha. Look at the responses, my brotha. It's way more split than I'd have imagined. Some would take the 9-2; some would go for the 10-1.

I don't think you've understood the hypo (or you're messing around, which is fair). It's whether (1) you avoid having to play the remaining 3 games and take a 2-1 record for those contests VS (2) take your chances at 3-0 (but could just as well go 0-3 or 1-2 or whatever).

Yes. The hypo is right now you avoid even having to play the other games. You get a 2-1 record for the remaining games.

Ha. I always get a real laugh out of these responses. You, a fan, just wrote "all we control is winning our next game." We do not gameplan. This is a message board. It's not that deep. But, I do appreciate your focus and hope the coaches and players follow that mindset. In the past, they clearly...

Maybe I should have done a poll to get a count, but so far, including off the board and these replies, it's about 65% (go for 3-0) and 35% (take the 2-1 route).

Ha. How may I help clarify. Read the responses already above. There's a split in the responses, which surprised me when I asked off the board. If you had a chance to avoid the last three games of the season, but with a 2-1 record, would you sign on the dotted line (thereby passing up a chance to...

Think you'll be surprised by the split. At least that's what I saw off the board - though not a big enough sample (which is why I'm curious what will happen here).