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  1. Lance Roffers

    Miami Baseball Season Projections

    Obviously have some personal interest in this because I built the models and ran the projections so I’ve been rooting for them to get to 37 before the end of the season. Four to go to get two more wins, pretty solid chance we see it happen. Thanks for the bump/props. I’ve tracked the numbers...
  2. Lance Roffers

    Miami Baseball Season Projections

    It’s not easy. You start with a freshman baseline for the ACC and then adjust for recruiting ranking, information you get from coaches from practice/fall, use information about the type of hitter they were in college (plate discipline, swing traits), physical build, experience watching them...
  3. Lance Roffers

    Miami Baseball Season Projections

    At this point, I’d assume it’s fairly similar to what they did in the alumni game outside of maybe Del Castillo being DH and Cloonan starting instead of Chet Moore (if it’s a righty starter).
  4. Lance Roffers

    Miami Baseball Season Projections

    Yes, this is actually a metric tracked by Fangraphs and it’s called simply, “Baserunning.” It’s difficult to calculate at the collegiate level and I think there’s some guesswork involved with the public models. I do calculate a metric entitled “Weighted Stolen Base” which seeks to give a...
  5. Lance Roffers

    Miami Baseball Season Projections

    Yes, stop spending more than is generated each year.
  6. Lance Roffers

    Miami Baseball Season Projections

    Baseball season is back! Miami will open the season with their annual series versus Rutgers and before things get started for real it’s time for projections. Last year I predicted a record of 34-20 and the Canes fell short of that record with a final showing at 28-26. However, if you look at the...
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