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  1. Lance Roffers

    College Football's Legs Race (Part 1)

    This is actually true. I was looking just to get a sum of things- and my correlation was on variance- but The Pythagorean approach is the way to get accurate sums of standard deviations. Thank you.
  2. Lance Roffers

    College Football's Legs Race (Part 1)

    I live in my parents’ basement.
  3. Lance Roffers

    College Football's Legs Race (Part 1)

    Thanks so much for the response. One thing that I probably didn’t make clear enough was that I am working to make projections to COLLEGE rather than the NFL. I have done a lot of work with the NFL draft and am familiar with all of those places you listed. Even the metrics etc. Data has...
  4. Lance Roffers

    College Football's Legs Race (Part 1)

    As expected- and mirrors what the NFL data shows for that league- WR is the only position to come out negative on the average athleticism. Seems counter-intuitive but the data shows this repeatedly.
  5. Lance Roffers

    College Football's Legs Race (Part 1)

    I'll answer the question, but please understand I did not run the regression on this topic to see what was significant. These are simply averages of the All-Conference players. When you are dealing with a limited sample size, if you do not do cross-validation you can have significant impacts on...
  6. Lance Roffers

    College Football's Legs Race (Part 1)

    Outside of the elite kids who are ready-made 315-pound dancing bears, yes, this seems to be the way to go over the sloppy kids who can't move. It's why I never had a problem taking Zion and ElGammal. It's the archetype I'd be looking for if I didn't need an OT immediately. Grad transfer is the...
  7. Lance Roffers

    College Football's Legs Race (Part 1)

    Kaaya was a class of 2014 player and that year was the lowest volume of recruits to actually complete the testing. Kaaya did not complete testing. He also was injured at the NFL Combine and did not complete testing there either (you can get a good proxy of what they tested like coming out of HS...
  8. Lance Roffers

    College Football's Legs Race (Part 1)

    I went and looked up the 2015 recruiting class since it actually had a negative standard deviation total in athleticism and it was pretty bad, looking back. You had some nice recruits (most of whom met their thresholds) in Jaquan, Kendrick Norton, Mike Jackson, Redwine, McIntosh, Mark Walton...
  9. Lance Roffers

    College Football's Legs Race (Part 1)

    I took my own time, learned how to do a ridge regression, researched the data, parsed the data, wrote the article, had @DMoney read and edit the article, then posted it. Yes. I am absolutely a lunatic nerd.
  10. Lance Roffers

    College Football's Legs Race (Part 1)

    The hope is that as I add to the model we can use it to determine the number of metrics the recruit satisfies etc. to include in a sort of profile. That's just sort of my thoughts though, since I just work here, that decision is above my pay grade.
  11. Lance Roffers

    College Football's Legs Race (Part 1)

    Thanks for the thoughts. If you look at the chart showing correlation with the NFL Combine it matches perfectly. I actually think my model ended up faring extremely well in comparison. WR has shown very little correlation with athleticism testing for many years now. Really, what shows the most...
  12. Lance Roffers

    College Football's Legs Race (Part 1)

    Recruiting is the lifeblood of any program. You can have all the X’s & O’s but you won’t win big without the Jimmy’s & Joe’s. Today, you will find numerous sites almost solely developed to the recruiting business. Fans of programs gather around their computer screens to see which prospect might...
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