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Exactly. You don’t win by 30 because you got lucky.

Losing to FIU last year counts but beating Louisville last year doesn’t. Gotcha. For the record, I’m not predicting a blowout win. It should be fairly close but I think Miami matches up very favorably against the Cardinals. I’m not just writing this one off as a loss

Your “reality” is that Louisville somehow improved dramatically and Miami got significantly worse yet you are yet to state any reason for believing this. The reality is that Miami destroyed Louisville last year and even if they did get incrementally better, they would still need Miami to be much...

Considering they’re returning a majority of the guys who played in last year’s game along with pretty much every coach, they haven’t really changed that much. I get it. You want Louisville to win. You hate Miami. Whatever.

They had better hope they improved by a lot and they had better hope Miami got a lot worse because last year's game wasn't even close.

Because Miami is totally rebuilt on offense. New starters at QB, RB, WR and three new starters on the offensive line. Running a new offensive system with a new offensive coordinator, offensive line coach and WR coach. Louisville is returning pretty much all their skill players from last year...