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My answer is that it can happen either way. If you have 6 win talent, and a staff that can squeeze 7 wins out of it, recruiting can slowly improve through winning. If you've got an ace staff, they can recruit 8-win talent off a 6 win season. Ideally, you assemble a staff that can do both...

With the caveat that it has to be spread out across position groups. A majority of the roster isn't enough. Just look at some F$U teams and our roster last year. If you've stacked a ton of 4 and 5 star WRs and LBs, but have a none on the OL, don't expect to win it all. Your last statement is...