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In some ways, it must be nice to have such a simple-minded view of the world. Life would be simpler if nuance and context were just completely ignored. Obviously, it would lead to poorly-informed perspectives such as the one I quoted above, but hey, can't have it all I guess.

I guess the people in this thread don't really understand probabilities. If something happens occasionally, even if it's undesirable, then it "should" still happen. Ex1: let's say you operate a factory and the industry standard is that for a factory of that type/size, there are 10 accidents a...

No, he said you shouldn't lose a game the ENTIRE SEASON when scoring 7 runs. That's not realistic. It's baseball. You can't overreact to a single game (especially one where none of your best 6-7 pitchers pitches). Had he said you shouldn't lose more than 2-3 games the entire season when scoring...

What is that based on? Your "gut"? UCLA leads the country in ERA. How many games do you think they've lost this year when scoring 7? (Looking only at 9 inning games) ONE! UNO! NOT ZERO! MORE THAN NONE! FYI, it took me about 3 minutes to Google the national ERA leader, then to Google UCLA...