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All of that being said, I do believe there should be some sort of risk adjustment, which my estimates don't take into account. The amount of guaranteed money varies (although not be a huge amount), plus there's the chance that you don't even make a roster. Both of those risks need to be...

Yes, that's the first measurable. By the time the 3rd round starts that value looks to be ~$3.5M, and it never drops below ~$2.5M. Maybe that chart is outdated, as your numbers are a bit higher. So maybe I was wrong in pegging the cutoff at ~50, maybe it's ~70. Regardless, the gap between...

Did you not see the chart someone posted earlier? There is virtually no difference in compensation after Round 2. The ONLY reasons someone should stay an extra year is if they believe that: 1) They can play themselves into a top 50 selection 2) They won't make a roster in the current year, but...

I hate posting on internet message boards, but given how poor the analysis is on this thread, I couldn't help myself... The previously posted chart shows that there's virtually no difference between the compensation of a 3rd rounder and of a 7th rounder (and do a quick google search for UFA...