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It’s very rare to go undefeated even if heavily favored in each game. If you have a 12 game season and are the 92% chance winner for each game, then you are still expected to get one loss. And we aren’t that heavy of a favorite on average even if we maximized our talent.

Regular season wins I’d say: 7 or less - 15% 8 - 20% 9 - 30% 10 - 20% 11 or more - 15%