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I think this is correct, but I also think thats the 1 win left on the schedule. 4-8 is the probable floor, 6-6 is the probable ceiling. 5-7 is the most likely outcome imo. A win over FIU and maybe Louisville or FSU if either dont come to play. Duke & Pitt should be favored to beat Miami, though...

But... at 5-7 I think he is 50/50 with Blake 70/30. at 4-8 I'd say Manny is 70/30 gone, Blake 95/5. What we need is blow out losses now so Blake cant say, "we are 4 plays from being 7-0."

We will finish 4-8 or 5-7.