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You are the one posting that image in multiple threads. But if draft selection number is the new parameter, then he just has to be better than Brown, who was a sixth round pick.

Ertz has three straight seasons of 70+ catches and over 800 yards receiving. It's a lot to ask someone to be that consistently productive.

He would have to be a top 3-5 TE essentially to be compared to Ertz. Not saying it can't happen but Ertz is one of the best tight ends in the league.

There's about a 0.001% (probably too high) chance he has better career than any of those players in that image. There's actually a 0% chance he has a better career than Brown and Megatron.