CircaSports releases ACC & Miami football win totals

Trinton Breeze

Jul 13, 2025 2 min read

CircaSports has released ACC win totals for all teams, including the Notre Dame Fighting Irish.

Clemson is once again projected to win the ACC football championship, but according to CircaSports’ predictive models, the Miami Hurricanes and Notre Dame aren't far behind.

It’s hard to believe it's already mid-July, and before long, we’ll be watching live-action on the gridiron.

Miami is projected to win 9 games, which ranks second among ACC teams. Notre Dame, however, is slotted just ahead of Miami, but since the Fighting Irish aren’t competing in the ACC this season, Miami becomes the No. 2 seed. That would set up a projected ACC Championship matchup between Miami and Clemson.

Check out the full win totals for the ACC down below:

ACC Football Win Totals

Clemson - 10 wins
Notre Dame - 10 wins
Miami - 9 wins
Louisville - 8 wins
SMU - 8 wins
Georgia Tech - 7 wins
Florida State - 7 wins
North Carolina - 7 wins
Duke - 6 wins
Pittsburgh - 6 wins
Virginia - 6 wins
NC State - 6 wins
Virginia Tech - 6 wins
Boston College - 5 wins
California - 5 wins
Syracuse - 5 wins
Wake Forest - 4 wins
Stanford - 3 wins

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Comments (24)

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3
305407cane

Jul 13, 2025

I’d bet under on fspoo at 7. Think 6 is their max

OrangeBowlMagic

Jul 13, 2025

305407cane said:
I’d bet under on fspoo at 7. Think 6 is their max

It’s 6.5 on draftings right now with heavy juice on the over. -150 on over 6.5, +125 on under.

It’s a no bet for me. They’re definitely winning 5, so I don’t like only having a 1 game safety net if you take the under. And no way I’m laying 50 cents on them getting to 7-5. Their schedule sucks though, they better win 6-7 or Mike is way gone.

Brains

Jul 13, 2025

We have the toughest schedule in the nation, yet again.

caneingville

Jul 13, 2025

OrangeBowlMagic said:
It’s 6.5 on draftings right now with heavy juice on the over. -150 on over 6.5, +125 on under.

It’s a no bet for me. They’re definitely winning 5, so I don’t like only having a 1 game safety net if you take the under. And no way I’m laying 50 cents on them getting to 7-5. Their schedule sucks though, they better win 6-7 or Mike is way gone.

Their record is hard to predict this year. I just don’t see how that offense is scoring, but like you said, that schedule. But even with that schedule, they have to score and the D isn’t that good and will wear out. I am not confident at all that that definitely win five, although I see them doing it. I just also easily see them doing fewer.

QuattroCane

Jul 13, 2025

9 is fair for us, 7 for FSU, though. I could be wrong, but I have zero confidence in Castellanos the QB.

Tinman64

Jul 13, 2025

QuattroCane said:
9 is fair for us, 7 for FSU, though. I could be wrong, but I have zero confidence in Castellanos the QB.

Kid has a big mouth for someone who got benched by obrien at bc

ThomasM

Jul 13, 2025

caneingville said:
Their record is hard to predict this year. I just don’t see how that offense is scoring, but like you said, that schedule. But even with that schedule, they have to score and the D isn’t that good and will wear out. I am not confident at all that that definitely win five, although I see them doing it. I just also easily see them doing fewer.

After Mama takes their soul, even their easy games will be tough.

Bama, not Mama. Still, leaving it for the **** of it.

Canesfan1899

Jul 13, 2025

QuattroCane said:
9 is fair for us, 7 for FSU, though. I could be wrong, but I have zero confidence in Castellanos the QB.

He’s a playmaker, but also been prone to turnovers. Try to limit him as a runner and he will not be nearly as effective.

QuattroCane

Jul 13, 2025

Canesfan1899 said:
He’s a playmaker, but also been prone to turnovers. Try to limit him as a runner and he will not be nearly as effective.

Apologies, but if he was a "playmaker" he wouldn't have gotten benched at BC...we shall see though.

caneingville

Jul 13, 2025

ThomasM said:
After Mama takes their soul, even their easy games will be tough.

Bama, not Mama. Still, leaving it for the **** of it.

Haha, I approve.

And that’s exactly how I feel. People are saying their schedule is easy so they’re penciling in these wins on paper, and I know I’m biased, but I also tend to very logical and analytical in how I approach things (not just football). You can’t beat easy teams if you can’t score, or if you don’t have talented depth. That’s why we have lost to so many ****** teams over the years.

****, even good defenses can’t overcome an anemic offense against bad teams. I’ve posted many a time about sitting in the Swamp, watching GA Southern beat UF - without completing a single pass - despite a solid Muschamp defense. And FSU’s defense is not even at that level. People are assuming that they will regress to the mean, but 13-1 isn’t the mean. The mean for the past seven years, since Jimbo left, is a losing record.

And with recruiting getting worse and worse, on a team that already has so many holes and poor development of the little talent they do have…I just don’t see how they improve beyond this year without major changes.

ThomasM

Jul 13, 2025

caneingville said:
Haha, I approve.

And that’s exactly how I feel. People are saying their schedule is easy so they’re penciling in these wins on paper, and I know I’m biased, but I also tend to very logical and analytical in how I approach things (not just football). You can’t beat easy teams if you can’t score, or if you don’t have talented depth. That’s why we have lost to so many ****** teams over the years.

****, even good defenses can’t overcome an anemic offense against bad teams. I’ve posted many a time about sitting in the Swamp, watching GA Southern beat UF - without completing a single pass - despite a solid Muschamp defense. And FSU’s defense is not even at that level. People are assuming that they will regress to the mean, but 13-1 isn’t the mean. The mean for the past seven years, since Jimbo left, is a losing record.

And with recruiting getting worse and worse, on a team that already has so many holes and poor development of the little talent they do have…I just don’t see how they improve beyond this year without major changes.

Throw in an injury or two, and their roster falls apart. They are not talented. They were the luckiest team I ever saw getting to 13-0, and I mean that. Teams gifted them games, week after week. I'd be shocked if they got to .500 this year. Remember, one of their wins last year was a gift from Cal. I don't see how they improved that pathetic roster enough to get 6 wins. Like you said, you need something that resembles an O to beat bad teams. FSU's O was historically bad last year. Way worse than our D, if you can imagine. That's not changing with a me first transfer QB. I expect more ugliness from them this year.

caneingville

Jul 13, 2025

ThomasM said:
Throw in an injury or two, and their roster falls apart. They are not talented. They were the luckiest team I ever saw getting to 13-0, and I mean that. Teams gifted them games, week after week. I'd be shocked if they got to .500 this year. Remember, one of their wins last year was a gift from Cal. I don't see how they improved that pathetic roster enough to get 6 wins. Like you said, you need something that resembles an O to beat bad teams. FSU's O was historically bad last year. Way worse than our D, if you can imagine. That's not changing with a me first transfer QB. I expect more ugliness from them this year.

We didn’t even mention the fact that Norvell isn’t some mastermind game day coach.

D
DemCanes10

Jul 14, 2025

LMAO!!!

Easy money on the over for Miami and Under for FSU!!!

T
TallyCaneFan

Jul 14, 2025

"Clemson is once again projected to win the ACC football championship, but according to CircaSports’ predictive models, the Miami Hurricanes and Notre Dame aren't far behind."

When did ND become a contender for the ACC championship?

Last edited: Jul 14, 2025

TrumpyCane

Jul 14, 2025

caneingville said:
Their record is hard to predict this year. I just don’t see how that offense is scoring, but like you said, that schedule. But even with that schedule, they have to score and the D isn’t that good and will wear out. I am not confident at all that that definitely win five, although I see them doing it. I just also easily see them doing fewer.

Bama
@UVA
Miami
Pitt
@Stanford
@Clemson
Wake forest
VT
@NC State
@FLorida

In TrumpyCane's opinion the bolded are the toss ups games while the others are losses

Of those 6 they could easily lose 4, @UVA and @Stanford aren't easy wins and those teams have gotten better

Shooter McGavin

Jul 14, 2025

Circa’s Sportsbook in Vegas makes me draw wood everytime

CBurrr93

Jul 14, 2025

Id imagine you could afford to pay for 5 star recruits by taking the under on Miami over the years lol ill never put my money on us going over a win total

caneingville

Jul 14, 2025

TrumpyCane said:
Bama
@UVA
Miami
Pitt
@Stanford
@Clemson
Wake forest
VT
@NC State
@FLorida

In TrumpyCane's opinion the bolded are the toss ups games while the others are losses

Of those 6 they could easily lose 4, @UVA and @Stanford aren't easy wins and those teams have gotten better

Exactly. This is what I was saying in my follow-up post. People are assuming they should win a lot of these because they are FSU are so they should get back to being FSU. They are giving them the benefit of the doubt but based on what? The brand name? Right now it’s a house of cards. And we know this because we went through the same experience, although at least our “bad” was really just mediocre.

OrangeBowlMagic

Jul 14, 2025

caneingville said:
Exactly. This is what I was saying in my follow-up post. People are assuming they should win a lot of these because they are FSU are so they should get back to being FSU. They are giving them the benefit of the doubt but based on what? The brand name? Right now it’s a house of cards. And we know this because we went through the same experience, although at least our “bad” was really just mediocre.

Stanford is going to be one of the worst, if not the worst, P4 team in the country this year.

If Mike loses to Stanford, he's getting fired before the end of the post-game press conference.

They have 3 easy wins....Stanford, Kent State, and some FCS school.

They play Wake at home, they're awful. IMO that's 4.

So they have to win 2 out of Bama, @ Virginia, Miami, Pitt, @ Clemson, VT, @ NC State, @ Florida.

Obviously, if they're not any better than they were last year, they're not winning any of those games. I don't see how that's possible, though. I think they'll win 2 of them and get to 6 wins, I wouldn't bet on anything more than that, though.