I'd say about even. You know he's going to have a killer defense one day at OU. He's recruiting some monsters on that side of the ball as we speak. Lebby, will he work out? That'll determine the immediate future.
Mario, we'll see as well.
Neither though will be Riley good IMO. One is an elite DC, the other OL specialist. Both will hopefully bring respectability to their programs, so to me it's a push. Non-homer pick, the elite DC may push Venebles ever so slightly ahead, but he's never been a head coach. I really don't know.