We are what we repeatedly do.
- Sep 3, 2018
Johns Hopkins experts in global public health, infectious disease, and emergency preparedness have been at the forefront of the international response to COVID-19.
The COVID-19 virus has spread worldwide in a matter of a few months. Healthcare systems struggle to monitor and report current cases. Limited capabilities in testing result in difficult to guide policies and mitigate lack of preparation. Since severe cases, which more likely lead to fatal...
3,281/700,000 = .005 mortality rate
Lets says they were doing blow off hooker's titties and drunk and got it half wrong...
3,281/350,000 = .009 mortality rate
And again, as if blow and drinking wasn't enough to party (keep it real Duke) they were mainlining the Horse and got it half wrong still more so...
3,281/175,000 = .019 mortality rate
Not a great look for the "but...but...but the death rate is so much higher than the flu!" crowd.
By no means is any of the above definitive, but the TREND is a plummeting death rate when actuals are becoming more refined each day.
Now, according to the CDC, 30,000,000 have diabetes, 35,000,000 have lung disease, and 10,000,000 have immunocompromised issues in the US. Not even counting that a large number have diabetes and/or lung disease and/or immunocompromised issues, let's just take 75,000,000 as a raw baseline.
4% mortality rate x 75,000,000 = 3,000,000 EXPECTED US deaths
2.5% mortality rate x 75,000,000 = 1,875,000 EXPECTED US deaths
.019% mortality rate x 75,000,000 = 1,425,000 EXPECTED US deaths
.009% mortality rate x 75,000,000 = 675,000 EXPECTED US deaths
.005% mortality rate x 75,000,000 = 375,000 EXPECTED US deaths
ACTUAL US DEATHS as of 24 Mar = 720
Funny how in math, 1 + 1 still must equal 2.