I could honestly see Miami coming out and dominating this game from start to finish. Diaz held this offense in check last season. Clean up the bullshyt we've seen on D to start games and we should win something like 34-17. Virginia is a tough, scrappy, prideful group. They're going to want a dog-fight, slug-fest. If we come out and don't **** the bed then we win easily.
But Manny has to inspire this team to play fast from the word go. I've only seen that one time this year. My money wouldn't be on seeing it again before FSU.
Smart money is Miami winning by 4 because it's a night game, at home, on a Friday. 24-20.
I could honestly see Miami coming out and dominating this game from start to finish. Diaz held this offense in check last season. Clean up the bullshyt we've seen on D to start games and we should win something like 34-17. Virginia is a tough, scrappy, prideful group. They're going to want a dog-fight, slug-fest. If we come out and don't **** the bed then we win easily.
But Manny has to inspire this team to play fast from the word go. I've only seen that one time this year. My money wouldn't be on seeing it again before FSU.
Smart money is Miami winning by 4 because it's a night game, at home, on a Friday. 24-20.
Don't forget the odds makers put a number up to get one side or the other to pour money into backing their school. Watch the odds change as one side bets more money than the other. Also look for any large odds changes if someone drops a large bet at the last minute. Vegas does not care who wins the game, only that they don't care to be on the wrong side of the number and lose big. They hope to make up any losses by collecting on the vig.
I understand home field however if this game were at Virginia I would have guessed Virginia would be at least 7
There is absolutely no doubt for me baseball is the best sport to bet on by far...very, very successful on baseball this yearThat is almost exactly correct. Virginia's power rating is generally 4 to 5 points above Miami's, depending on which source you use. Given home field on a Saturday and Virginia would be roughly -7.
However, Virginia at home on a short week would be a larger favorite, closer to -7.5 or -8. Home teams always receive benefit of a doubt in those short week games, unless the road team had a bye the week before.
Miami at home on a short week is given benefit of a doubt. That's why the Canes are small favorite in the -1.5 to -2 range.
None of this is complicated if you follow the situational variables. In Las Vegas it is more difficult to pick winners than simply get a great pointspread on one game after another. That is a major part of it and it is one of the reasons that it is far easier to win at sports betting in that town than outsiders realize. You aren't sitting like a dolt in a chair with one wager at a standard number. If you have the proper instincts, know the right people, and do the legwork, then it is a mathematical situation of shifting small theoretical disadvantage to small advantage. Volume and an edge. Now that I'm out of town I don't enjoy those edges so my football results haven't been great for a few years. But I've done well on atypical stuff like the world track and field championships last week.
Virginia's power rating is not very high. They have been basically 30th to 37th in the country all year. Somehow the perception here has placed them far above that level. Meanwhile the ACC Coastal is condensed. That works on the high end and also the low end. Miami doesn't deserve to be much of a favorite or much of a dog.
The only exception now would be Georgia Tech. That team's power rating has plummeted and it now severely low, one of the worst I remember within the ACC in recent years. Miami would be a double digit favorite in that game if played right now. Georgia Tech's power rating is now 7-8 points below Virginia Tech.
As usual, the betting geniuses completely missed it. Instead of the spread going toward UVA, we're now favored by two.
Been *****ing about this for years. We are the worst team in the ACC.Beat Virginia, Win @Pitt, and lose to FIU .
The fact that we are even nervous about UVA, PITT, DUKE is pathetic! How the **** has the standard been lowered to this?
Beat Virginia, Win @Pitt, and lose to FIU .
The fact that we are even nervous about UVA, PITT, DUKE is pathetic! How the **** has the standard been lowered to this?
by hiring coaches from Temple and Louisiana Tech.
if its stas at that im dropping a few hundred
I thought the VTgame was easy money - this one is easy as well. The only thing that gives me pause is night game.