CDC radically revises asymptotic and mortality rates

tcgrad1014

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The asymptomatic percentage estimate seems low. The overall CFR (symptomatic + asymptomatic) based on those estimates would be .25 to .30ish? Is that right?
 
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CDC is due for a serious review once we get a breather after this is over. It’s my understanding that from a reporting standpoint, mixing up pcr and serology tests is absurd and most people don’t even know the difference.

While they are ultimate health data collection clearinghouse, it’s their data interpretation and data estimation/projection that gets them the side eye. They should not make that leap with testing, they need to separate that out. This is another leap, it looks like.
 

westcoastcanes

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Is the CDC testing anyone? Is the CDC treating anyone? Why is so much stock being put into this data aggregator over another? They put out guidelines on how to fill out a document and now they put the results on a website two weeks later. Hooray.
 

tcgrad1014

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Is the CDC testing anyone? Is the CDC treating anyone? Why is so much stock being put into this data aggregator over another? They put out guidelines on how to fill out a document and now they put the results on a website two weeks later. Hooray.
This CFR estimate is further confirmation of what the numbers have been showing. I don't find it particularly surprising.
 

westcoastcanes

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So that’s what, 950k roughly predicted deaths assuming we reach herd immunity before a vaccine?
 
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Badbart43

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It's all political. Believe what you want, but there are certain people in Washington (in politics and out) that do not want to see Trump succeed even if it means hurting America. He is tearing down their sandcastles and they do not like it. They tried with their fake Russia stuff, they tried with the impeachment, they are still stalling over 100 of his appointees....
 
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