Search results

Sharps now 2-0 betting our games this year. Let this be a valuable lesson for anyone in doubt: don’t ever be on the opposite side of a 4.5 point line swing. Bad things happen if you do.

Very good. We are close enough to kickoff that, absent some breaking COVID news for players, I’m very confident.

That site probably just hasn’t moved off -1 yet. It didn’t reverse. Pinnacle is the line that matters the most and it’s at -2 there.

They’re betting this game like it’s already been played. With a line move this big (now Miami -2) I fully expect a late move of some vig or maybe even half a point to Louisville’s favor before it closes. That’s just because there are some who will fade a 5.5 point move on principal. But this...

We are now favored by a point.

You need multiple accounts. They don't all move their lines at the same time, but usually within a minute or so. Once you find a few slow moving antelopes, you quickly pull the trigger when you see lines moving elsewhere before they adjust their lines. That's known as "chasing steam". It's...

With a spread this low I'd just bet the ML for +105 or whatever you can get it at. Odds of us losing by exactly 1 point is very remote, no jinx. Not worth laying -110 for that protection of a 1 point loss if your line is +1.5. ****, I see the total just rose to 65.5 this morning, jumped a...

Yes, in our favor. Moneyline movement shows you had to wager $138 to win $100 on Louisville this morning. Now? You just have to lay $117. Portends well as of now.

Boom. Great to see.

Line movement has been very accurate on our games the past few years. And although we barely covered vs. UAB, line movement was right there, too.

https://classic.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/ Scroll down to the row with our game and then click the square under the Pinnacle column.

The vig has at Pinnacle and it’s mostly trending in our favor. Not only is Pinnacle the most efficient with lines because it takes more action than any other casino (at least as of a few years ago, Draft Kings may have changed that with legalized sports gambling), but it moves its vig by the...

They’re not getting 10% by getting equal action, see my above post. They move the line for a variety of reasons. Sometimes it’s an adjustment when injury news breaks. Sometimes they’re betting, not booking, which is one reason why every casino doesn’t offer the same lines. But the main reason...

Here is something I posted last year which breaks down why any bookmaker/Vegas/offshore does not want equal money wagered on both sides: If a bankroll is sufficient - and we all know Vegas has a sufficient bankroll - why would a bookie move a number that has attracted a large amount of squares...

Vegas does not want equal action on both sides. There is a lengthy explanation I posted a year ago here about why mathematically it doesn’t behoove Vegas to call off action and just collect the vig rather than just book all bets. They move the line when certain profiles winners make bets that...

The O/U is now 62. Spread is Louisville -2.5 and more likely to go to -3 than revert back to -2 the way the vig is at Pinnacle.