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  1. No_Fly_Zone

    How many commits by Monday morning

    Yup. I was definitely on the easy under and bet the mortgage payment bus. By 7/1, it may well be a lot closer than most of us thought.
  2. No_Fly_Zone

    How many commits by Monday morning

    Oh, I'm not going to bother assigning fictitious numbers. After all, I wasn't the one claiming any event was the "most probable". Those were your words. I simply asked for your analysis to arrive at that claim. You've given me a flawed and, I suspect, disingenuous "basic overview" and an...
  3. No_Fly_Zone

    How many commits by Monday morning

    No, not at all. You just gave literally every day of the year an equal chance of resulting in a commitment. That makes ZERO logical sense. Dead periods... Major recruiting events... the week after the end of NSD... NSD and ESD... They are all equally likely to result in a commitment under...
  4. No_Fly_Zone

    How many commits by Monday morning

    So no math. And your analysis of our odds of pulling in recruits this weekend and coming to the conclusion that 0 commits is the "most probable" result is based on the odds of winning a scratch off lottery ticket (an event intentionally designed so that a losing ticket is the most likely...
  5. No_Fly_Zone

    How many commits by Monday morning

    What statistical analysis led you to that conclusion?
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