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Wish I had kept the link, but a few years ago I did some draft research and the conclusion of about a 1000 word post was that Year 3 is the critical year for a college DT. R Soph or True Junior. If they haven't developed by then, you're unlikely to see a jump. Some flash really well their Soph...

The inverse situation is why I think Elijah Roberts, after a year of development, will outperform his 3* ranking (247, last I checked) and projection as a 3Tech.