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  1. Ajcane8

    UL is a 2.5 point favorite (Updated 9/14)

    Yeah, 2 years in a row. Still never closer than two touchdowns in the 4th quarter. And, whoever he has as his dc makes Baker look like Bill Parcels ca. 1994. Good offensive mind - sure. Reason to be shaking in your boots - **** no. So, again, a lap.
  2. Ajcane8

    UL is a 2.5 point favorite (Updated 9/14)

    The entire "Satterfield is Bill Walsh reincarnate" brigade (and, man, that's a large group) needs to take a lap.
  3. Ajcane8

    UL is a 2.5 point favorite (Updated 9/14)

    I guess a couple of sharps dropped a bag on us at +2.5-3. That’s good to know.
  4. Ajcane8

    UL is a 2.5 point favorite (Updated 9/14)

    I’m just saying - the 50% myth is an old wives tale. It’s simply impossible to get equal action on every game. The vig (which isn’t 10% of the total number) is more an operational cost than a money maker. That’s what I’ve been told, anyways. And I have no reason to doubt it.
  5. Ajcane8

    UL is a 2.5 point favorite (Updated 9/14)

    I’ll just say I’ve been told, by someone who knows, that this isn’t wholly true. Generally, lines don’t “correct” to simply even out the action.
  6. Ajcane8

    UL is a 2.5 point favorite (Updated 9/14)

    The 50% myth is just that (a myth). It might happen in the super bowl (where there are 100 million bets and the game is between two even teams that are relatively easy to handicap) but that’s about it. 70% of the money will always be on Alabama over Arkansas - even when the number gets to 40...
  7. Ajcane8

    UL is a 2.5 point favorite (Updated 9/14)

    Again - "Vegas" always winning has ABSOLUTELY NOTHING to do with whoever “Vegas” thinks is going to win any individual game - especially when the spread in that game is 2 points. In fact, if you were so inclined, you could’ve made a lot of money betting against “Vegas” in 5 or 6 of our games...
  8. Ajcane8

    UL is a 2.5 point favorite (Updated 9/14)

    If Vegas is always right, someone is gonna have to explain to me how I just got 3.5 dollars for every 1 I layed on the bumblebees this Saturday. It has nothing to do with “Vegas”
  9. Ajcane8

    UL is a 2.5 point favorite (Updated 9/14)

    That’s true, and a 1-3 point line is basically a pickem anyways.
  10. Ajcane8

    UL is a 2.5 point favorite (Updated 9/14)

    Maybe, but not for the reason you’re insinuating. 3 point dogs win outright every week. Last week alone, there were 3 or 4 touchdown+ dogs that won outright.
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