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    Bracketology

    I guess you were shocked to find out we won the ACC on Saturday, since you don't check standings until the last game of the season.
  2. A

    Bracketology

    Yeah no **** you're "fine" with that lol that's the ideal draw But we have work to do to move up to a 4 and Purdue is most likely going to be a 2
  3. A

    Bracketology

    Did he say Miami should be 8/9? Seems like all he's saying is Miami won't be a 3...
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    Bracketology

    I don't understand what UVA being over-ranked 2 months ago has anything to do with the perception of the ACC today lol The metrics say the ACC is bad, and so does the eye test. How many teams have actually looked impressive in February? Miami, Pitt, maybe NC St. UVA has looked terrible for...
  5. A

    Bracketology

    If the SEC is basically the ACC plus Bama, then the SEC is much better than the ACC. You can't just hand-waive away a #1 seed (potentially the overall #1 seed). If UNC were a #1 seed right now, you wouldn't hear anything about the ACC being down.
  6. A

    Bracketology

    You're right! I was going off the OP's comment, but I forgot they lost that game. Their big win was vs Baylor, who is a #2 seed currently.
  7. A

    Bracketology

    This is wrong. We have 9 quad 1+2 wins. Also, the rest of that group has 13 or more. That's a lot more than 9. And from that group, only Arizona has a quad 3 loss (which we do vs GT). We've had a really good season. A 4/5 seed is indicative of that.
  8. A

    Bracketology

    Maybe the ACC will have a good tournament, but they've had a terrible season. UVA and Miami have been very good, but not elite. Duke and NC St have been solid. Pitt is coming on. Clemson and UNC have NIT resumes. Addressing your other points... UVA's win vs Houston was at home. But yes, UVA is...
  9. A

    Bracketology

    Not all metrics are created equal. The metrics I quoted are the ones used by the committee, full stop. They're listed on the team sheets (you can find the team sheets on Warren Nolan if you're curious). I have no idea what the answer to your question is. Maybe, maybe not. It's impossible to...
  10. A

    Bracketology

    It actually seems pretty clear. Yes, there is some subjectivity within a seed line or two, and yes, there are the occasional headscratchers. But overall, what matters and doesn't matter aligns pretty well with seeding. What matters: SOS, SOR, records vs each quad, predictive metrics, road...
  11. A

    Bracketology

    "Everyone who disagrees with me is biased" is a very biased statement. SOR is the only metric that suggests we should be a 3 seed today. If you want to throw out the committee and establish SOR as a BCS-style, single-criteria for the tournament...well, that's certainly a take. We have 9 quad...
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    Bracketology

    A basic understanding of probabilities. And it's 5* in a row, counting the ACCT. It's highly unlikely to happen. But the odds are not 0%. They're effectively 0%, but they're not 0%. Maybe Wong tears his ACL, Miller strains a hamstring, and Omier gets in foul trouble in a couple of games. Idk...
  13. A

    Bracketology

    It's actually pretty simple, but it does not sound like you have any interest in understanding. You just want to ***** and moan. Tennessee has a big advantage in 3 areas the committee looks at. They have better top-end wins (we beat UVA at home; they beat Texas at home and KU on a neutral...
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    Bracketology

    Lol alright. Try taking a Zanax. It's a flawed metric, like every other metric in the world. And just like every other metric, you need to understand it and consider it in the proper context for it to be useful. As has been said thousands of times over the years, a team's NET rating is largely...
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    Bracketology

    I mean, it's hard to go 0-20 lol. But I don't see them winning more than 1 or 2. You just listed their BEST performances. Every team, no matter how bad, is going to have some performances that are better than others. When their absolute best performances are still losses (two of them by 8+)...
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    Bracketology

    They don't have any wins away from home, beat a good not great IU team at home, and beat an NIT caliber Wake team at home. They have a lot of losses already. I think they'll make it eventually but their resume so far isn't great.
  17. A

    Bracketology

    They weren't listed as in the field in the latest bracketology. But I do think many of those teams will eventually play their way into it.
  18. A

    Bracketology

    We only have 1 win vs a projected NCAAT team.
  19. A

    Bracketology

    The composite has us as a 6 seed. Half of the ratings are just models working off tiny samples. It'll be more meaningful, with fewer outliers, later on.
  20. A

    Bracketology

    I'd guess we're in the 4-5 range right now. If we win the ACC I'd think we can move up to 2-3 seed range.
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